Breaking Events - Polyrion

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US strikes Iran by...?

March 31 64%

June 30 69%

March 31 63%

June 30 69%

March 31 63%

June 30 69%

March 31 60%

June 30 69%

March 31 55%

June 30 61%

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 21.2%

Elon Musk 1.5%

Gavin Newsom 17.3%

Pete Buttigi... 2%

Tim Walz 0.9%

Josh Shapiro 2.3%

Gretchen Whi... 1.3%

Marco Rubio 9.9%

Alexandria O... 5.3%

Wes Moore 1.3%

Fed decision in March?

50+ bps decr... 0.3%

25 bps decre... 0.6%

No change 98.9%

25+ bps incr... 0.4%

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

3.8%

chance

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

3+ days 85%

14+ days 5.7%

60+ days 1.3%

7+ days 22%

30+ days 2.5%

2+ days 84%

14+ days 3.6%

60+ days 0.7%

7+ days 10%

30+ days 1.9%

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

85.6%

chance

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

18%

chance

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

39%

chance

Bitcoin $73,749.38 Up or Down on March 5?

16%

chance

NFL Champion 2027

Minnesota Vi... 1.3%

New York Gia... 1.5%

New Orleans... 0.9%

New York Jet... 0.9%

Pittsburgh S... 1%

San Francisc... 4.3%

Philadelphia... 4.9%

Seattle Seah... 12%

Tampa Bay Bu... 1.8%

Tennessee Ti... 2.5%

US forces enter Iran by..?

March 31 25%

March 31 50%

December 31 63%

March 14 26%

March 7 13.9%

Pro Baseball World Series Champion 2026

New York Yan... 8%

Toronto Blue... 7%

Tampa Bay Ra... 0.6%

Baltimore Or... 2.4%

Boston Red S... 4.5%

Cleveland Gu... 1.6%

Chicago Whit... 0.4%

Minnesota Tw... 0.9%

Detroit Tige... 2.7%

Kansas City... 1.5%