1.8%
chance
Andy Burnham
3.1%
No Next PM i...
33%
Al Carns
1%
Darren Jones
1.1%
James Clever...
0.2%
David Lammy
0.3%
Robert Jenri...
0.2%
Rachel Reeve...
5.1%
Rupert Lowe
6.3%
Bridget Phil...
0.2%
Boris Johnso...
0.2%
Ed Miliband
18.9%
90%
chance
7.8%
chance
June 30
37%
March 31
3%
Negative
23%
0.9-1.2%
3.8%
0.3-0.6%
25.1%
1.5-1.8%
12%
0.0-0.3%
24%
1.2-1.5%
8.6%
0.6-0.9%
27.1%
1.8%+
5.7%
↑1.45
50%
↓1.00
13%
↓1.10
66%
↓1.20
83%
↓1.25
95%
↓1.30
68%
↑1.40
80%
↑1.50
45%
↑1.55
24%
↑1.60
12%
↑1.70
9%
25 bps decre...
35%
Increase
0.9%
No change
70%
50+ bps decr...
1.1%
4.5%+
20%
4.0-4.4%
10%
2.0–2.4%
63%
1.0–1.4%
70.1%
3.5–3.9%
17%
2.5–2.9%
68%
1.5–1.9%
15%
<1.0%
10%