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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
2.1%
chance
$22.2M Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
40%
chance
$11M Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
11.1%
chance
$10.1M Vol.
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
50%
chance
$6.3M Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1.2%
chance
$5M Vol.
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
40%
chance
$3.9M Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
99.9%
chance
$3.3M Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
20%
chance
$2.5M Vol.
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its te...
15%
chance
$2.3M Vol.
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 31 10%
March 31 1.4%
$1.7M Vol.
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Leb...
86%
chance
$1.6M Vol.
Russian strike on a NATO member by...?
Russian strike on a NATO member by...?
2.5%
chance
$1.6M Vol.
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