2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
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DAYS
00
HRS
00
MINS
00
SECS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
3rd hottest
$85.9K Vol.
73.6%
▲0.5%
4th or lower
$100.6K Vol.
29.5%
▼0.3%
2nd hottest
$46K Vol.
1.2%
▼0.2%
1st hottest
$43.3K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record.
Note: If February 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Created At: Jan 31, 2026, 4:52 AM Asia/Dhaka
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