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Brazil Presidential Election

$11,668,446 Vol. 04 Oct 2026, 00:00
00 DAYS
00 HRS
00 MINS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Tarcisio de Freitas
Tarcisio de Freitas
$1.3M Vol.
11.9% ▼2.7%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$2.9M Vol.
53%
Jair Bolsonaro
Jair Bolsonaro
$1.2M Vol.
<1%
Fernando Haddad
Fernando Haddad
$887.2K Vol.
2% ▼0.3%
Michelle Bolsonaro
Michelle Bolsonaro
$1.2M Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$813.2K Vol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
Ratinho Júnior
$1.1M Vol.
8% ▼0.8%
Renan Santos
Renan Santos
$1M Vol.
6.3%

Rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Created At: Dec 24, 2025, 1:34 AM UTC
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