Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

00 DAYS
00 HRS
00 MINS
00 SECS
$63,850 VOL. | Jun 30, 2026
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
40%+
40%+
$23K Vol.
98.9% ▲2.6%
45%+
45%+
$25.6K Vol.
97%
50%+
50%+
$15.3K Vol.
33% ▲6%
60%+
60%+
$23.2K Vol.
19% ▼0.5%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Feb 08, 2026, 1:30 AM Asia/Dhaka
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