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Google Gemini 3 score on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

$727,661 Vol. 31 Jan 2026, 00:00
00 DAYS
00 HRS
00 MINS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
45%
45%
$79.1K Vol.
5.1% ▼3.4%
40%+
40%+
$445.1K Vol.
13% ▼7%
ENDED MARKETS
35%
35%
$79.7K Vol. · Ended
<1%
YES Won
Final: <1% YES
30%+
30%+
$123.7K Vol. · Ended
<1%
YES Won
Final: <1% YES

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini 3 model with a score of at least the specified score by the specified January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Created At: Dec 24, 2025, 1:34 AM UTC
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