How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
00
DAYS
00
HRS
00
MINS
00
SECS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
4.4%
$29.8K Vol.
5%
4.5%
$39.2K Vol.
1.8%
▼0.2%
4.6%
$6.5K Vol.
1.4%
4.8%
$9.6K Vol.
1.1%
▼0.3%
5.0%
$13.1K Vol.
<1%
▼0.2%
4.3%
$19.2K Vol. · Ended
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 10:02 PM Asia/Dhaka
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