How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

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$114,744 VOL. | Dec 31, 2026
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
3.9%
3.9%
$13.5K Vol.
90% ▲13.9%
3.8%
3.8%
$10.2K Vol.
77% ▼0.5%
3.7%
3.7%
$19.9K Vol.
70% ▲4%
3.6%
3.6%
$235.04 Vol.
57% ▼28%
3.5%
3.5%
$341.022851 Vol.
39% ▲0.5%
3.0%
3.0%
$72.280286 Vol.
21% ▼0.5%
2.0%
2.0%
$159.651806 Vol.
12%
1.0%
1.0%
$38.5K Vol.
8.3% ▲0.4%
Hide resolved
4.0%
4.0%
$31.8K Vol. · Ended
Yes

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 10:02 PM Asia/Dhaka
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