Insurrection Act invoked by...?
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% CHANCE
December 31
$105K Vol.
30%
▼3.5%
December 31
$105.1K Vol.
30%
▼3.5%
June 30
$61.6K Vol.
14%
▲2.5%
June 30
$61.6K Vol.
13%
▲2.5%
April 30
$26.08 Vol.
8%
March 31
$288K Vol.
1.3%
▼0.3%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 10:02 PM Asia/Dhaka
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