Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
00
DAYS
00
HRS
00
MINS
00
SECS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
June 30
$47K Vol.
41%
▼0.5%
October 31
$2.5M Vol. · Ended
No
December 31
$708.5K Vol. · Ended
No
November 30
$347.8K Vol. · Ended
No
November 7
$201.5K Vol. · Ended
No
January 31
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
March 31
$86.7K Vol. · Ended
No
Rules
On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 10:01 PM Asia/Dhaka
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