Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
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OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31
$25.1K Vol.
67%
▼4.5%
December 31
$28K Vol.
67%
▼4.5%
June 30
$174K Vol.
39%
▼0.5%
June 30
$160.1K Vol.
37%
▼0.5%
March 31
$5.4K Vol.
2%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 10:02 PM Asia/Dhaka
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