Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
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DAYS
00
HRS
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MINS
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SECS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$340.5K Vol.
12%
▲0.8%
International Court of Justice
$195.8K Vol.
7.5%
▲0.3%
Pope Leo XIV
$204K Vol.
5.2%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
$203.5K Vol.
4.4%
▼0.2%
Charlie Kirk
$397.8K Vol.
2.4%
▼0.6%
Narendra Modi
$239.8K Vol.
2.4%
Xi Jinping
$668.1K Vol.
2.3%
Elon Musk
$489.8K Vol.
1.7%
Julian Assange
$295.6K Vol.
1.6%
▼0.5%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
$279.8K Vol.
1.6%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
$478.6K Vol.
1.3%
Khaled Mashal
$137.4K Vol.
1.2%
Vladimir Putin
$469.4K Vol.
1%
▲0.2%
Mohammed bin Salman
$479.8K Vol.
<1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$244.3K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 10:01 PM Asia/Dhaka
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