OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
00
DAYS
00
HRS
00
MINS
00
SECS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
45%+
$413.535755 Vol.
94%
▲2%
50%+
$1.3K Vol.
92%
▼4.5%
60%+
$10 Vol.
75%
▲0.5%
70%+
$186.757198 Vol.
18%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Jan 29, 2026, 11:52 PM Asia/Dhaka
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