US forces enter Iran by..?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31
$266.8K Vol.
63%
▼3%
March 31
$1.5M Vol.
50%
▼0.5%
March 14
$417.9K Vol.
26%
March 31
$767.7K Vol.
25%
▼0.5%
March 7
$779.6K Vol.
13.9%
January 31?
$571.8K Vol. · Ended
No
March 3
$921.4K Vol. · Ended
No
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 21, 2026, 10:43 AM Asia/Dhaka
Comments (0)
Loading comments...