US forces enter Iran by..?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31
$2.8M Vol.
69%
▼3%
December 31
$2.5M Vol.
65%
▼3%
April 30
$259.8K Vol.
55%
March 31
$767.7K Vol.
25%
▼0.5%
March 31
$12.8M Vol.
21%
▼0.5%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 21, 2026, 10:43 AM Asia/Dhaka
Comments
Top Holders
Positions
Activity
Login
Yes holders
SHARES
No holders
SHARES
Yes
PNL
No
PNL
Loading…