Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

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$95,541 VOL. | Dec 31, 2026
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Mariah Carey
Mariah Carey
$1.8K Vol.
92% ▲0.5%
Olivia Rodrigo
Olivia Rodrigo
$135.930065 Vol.
89% ▲4.5%
Peso Pluma
Peso Pluma
$21.268283 Vol.
88%
Drake
Drake
$2.8K Vol.
87% ▲0.5%
Morgan Wallen
Morgan Wallen
$321.831772 Vol.
80%
Tyler, The Creator
Tyler, The Creator
$238.3425 Vol.
65%
Playboi Carti
Playboi Carti
$7.2K Vol.
63% ▼4%
Lil Baby
Lil Baby
$190.13 Vol.
62% ▲8.5%
Sabrina Carpenter
Sabrina Carpenter
$207.573697 Vol.
60% ▲2%
Ariana Grande
Ariana Grande
$22.723633 Vol.
54% ▲11.5%
Post Malone
Post Malone
$100 Vol.
54%
Billie Eilish
Billie Eilish
$12.1K Vol.
51% ▲4%
The Weeknd
The Weeknd
$1.9K Vol.
47% ▲2%
Travis Scott
Travis Scott
$133.490868 Vol.
45% ▼3%
Jack Harlow
Jack Harlow
$5.2K Vol.
40% ▲2%
SZA
SZA
$195.62 Vol.
33% ▲1%
Rihanna
Rihanna
$536.244183 Vol.
29.3% ▲7.2%
Luke Combs
Luke Combs
$2.3K Vol.
27%
A$AP Rocky
A$AP Rocky
$1.6K Vol.
26%
Kendrick Lamar
Kendrick Lamar
$286.907786 Vol.
25%
Ed Sheeran
Ed Sheeran
$516 Vol.
19%
Zach Bryan
Zach Bryan
$718.385737 Vol.
18% ▲6%
Future
Future
$2.5K Vol.
18% ▲3%
Doja Cat
Doja Cat
$8.9K Vol.
16%
Kanye West
Kanye West
$528.723956 Vol.
13% ▼1%
Frank Ocean
Frank Ocean
$8.8K Vol.
5.1% ▼1.2%
Hide resolved
Harry Styles
Harry Styles
$6.8K Vol. · Ended
Yes
Bad Bunny
Bad Bunny
$29.6K Vol. · Ended
Yes

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart. Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Created At: Jan 21, 2026, 10:31 AM Asia/Dhaka
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