Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
00
DAYS
00
HRS
00
MINS
00
SECS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Flavio Bolsonaro
$13.2K Vol.
87%
▲1.5%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$80.7K Vol.
83%
▼3.5%
Fernando Haddad
$20.2K Vol.
12.7%
Tarcisio de Frietas
$36.1K Vol.
8.9%
▼1.7%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$10.6K Vol.
6.1%
▼0.3%
Jair Bolsonaro
$8.6K Vol.
3.6%
Rules
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 10:01 PM Asia/Dhaka
Comments (0)
Loading comments...