Which companies will the US take a stake in?
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SECS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Palantir
$154.442844 Vol.
86%
▼0.5%
GlobalFoundries
$430.046403 Vol.
81%
IonQ
$171.60143 Vol.
80%
▼1%
D-Wave
$225.912688 Vol.
78%
▲0.5%
Boeing
$811.606084 Vol.
75%
▼1%
Lockheed Martin
$183.068448 Vol.
73%
▼6.5%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$262.91707 Vol.
72%
Eli Lilly
$186 Vol.
69%
▼0.5%
Pfizer
$72.22 Vol.
68%
▼0.5%
Freeport-McMoRan
$487.52429 Vol.
51%
Samsung Electronics
$7.1K Vol.
30%
▼24.5%
Rigetti
$18.8K Vol.
29.6%
▲1.4%
Nvidia
$470.170994 Vol.
26%
▼1%
Anduril
$38.9K Vol.
21%
▼4%
TSMC
$360.041171 Vol.
19%
▼3.5%
Micron
$679.742333 Vol.
18%
▼0.5%
OpenAI
$708.369912 Vol.
18%
▼1.5%
Anthropic
$546.915796 Vol.
12%
▲4.5%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Feb 08, 2026, 1:30 AM Asia/Dhaka
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