Which companies will the US take a stake in?
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DAYS
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HRS
00
MINS
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SECS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
TikTok US / Bytedance
$163.805659 Vol.
92%
IonQ
$0 Vol.
87%
▼1%
Anduril
$427.901254 Vol.
64%
▼4%
Palantir
$150.28295 Vol.
60%
▼0.5%
Eli Lilly
$186 Vol.
60%
▼0.5%
D-Wave
$225.912688 Vol.
57%
▲0.5%
GlobalFoundries
$421.486547 Vol.
35%
Pfizer
$72.22 Vol.
33%
▼0.5%
Lockheed Martin
$6.39 Vol.
27%
▼6.5%
Micron
$568.742333 Vol.
24%
▼0.5%
Boeing
$567.245579 Vol.
20%
▼1%
Anthropic
$480.467442 Vol.
19%
▲4.5%
Freeport-McMoRan
$469.12 Vol.
18%
Samsung Electronics
$876.409765 Vol.
16%
▼24.5%
Nvidia
$421.317701 Vol.
15%
▼1%
TSMC
$291.517286 Vol.
10%
▼3.5%
Rigetti
$740.687492 Vol.
9.7%
▲1.4%
OpenAI
$648.705557 Vol.
9%
▼1.5%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Feb 08, 2026, 1:30 AM Asia/Dhaka
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