Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

00 DAYS
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$915,846 VOL. | Mar 31, 2026
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Brazil
Brazil
$12.7K Vol.
9% ▼1.5%
Ukraine
Ukraine
$53.2K Vol.
8.7%
China
China
$91K Vol.
8.7% ▲0.2%
Russia
Russia
$246.1K Vol.
6% ▼0.4%
India
India
$42.7K Vol.
5.7% ▲2.4%
Italy
Italy
$37.1K Vol.
4.9% ▲0.2%
Finland
Finland
$10.9K Vol.
4.8%
Netherlands
Netherlands
$8.4K Vol.
4.6%
Germany
Germany
$46.1K Vol.
4.5%
U.K.
U.K.
$42.9K Vol.
3.8%
Switzerland
Switzerland
$8.9K Vol.
3.5% ▼0.3%
Denmark
Denmark
$15.1K Vol.
3.3% ▼0.4%
France
France
$44.8K Vol.
3.2%
Belgium
Belgium
$27.4K Vol.
3% ▲0.4%
Sweden
Sweden
$12.7K Vol.
2.8%
Norway
Norway
$34.3K Vol.
2.5% ▼0.5%
Spain
Spain
$40.5K Vol.
1.9%
Palestine
Palestine
$38.4K Vol.
1.9% ▼1.5%
Hide resolved
Hungary
Hungary
$20.7K Vol. · Ended
Yes
Turkiye
Turkiye
$42.6K Vol. · Ended
Yes
Israel
Israel
$39.4K Vol. · Ended
Yes

Rules

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Jan 23, 2026, 10:03 AM Asia/Dhaka
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