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Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

$21,514 Vol. 30 Jun 2026, 00:00
00 DAYS
00 HRS
00 MINS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
North Korea
North Korea
$560.395719 Vol.
3.7%
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
$1.1K Vol.
21% ▼1%
Afghanistan
Afghanistan
$49.0101 Vol.
8% ▼1%
Pakistan
Pakistan
$39.021461 Vol.
12% ▲1.5%
Cuba
Cuba
$192.437945 Vol.
15.3% ▲0.3%
Lebanon
Lebanon
$1.5K Vol.
9.9%
Iraq
Iraq
$119.987936 Vol.
18% ▼5%
Syria
Syria
$794.006107 Vol.
19% ▲1.5%

Rules

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Created At: Dec 24, 2025, 1:34 AM UTC
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