Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
00
DAYS
00
HRS
00
MINS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Warsh
$5.5M Vol.
59%
▲15.5%
Kevin Hassett
$10M Vol.
16%
▼18%
Christopher Waller
$4.4M Vol.
13.6%
▲6%
Bill Pulte
$23.2M Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$4.9M Vol.
1%
▼0.5%
David Malpass
$3.2M Vol.
<1%
▼0.2%
Howard Lutnick
$1.9M Vol.
<1%
Individual T
$0 Vol.
>99%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Dec 24, 2025, 1:34 AM UTC
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