Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

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$607 VOL. | Jun 30, 2026
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Lisa Murkowski
Lisa Murkowski
$64 Vol.
94% ▼1%
Kevin Cramer
Kevin Cramer
$607.018022 Vol.
93% ▲3%
Thom Tillis
Thom Tillis
$35.7K Vol.
92% ▲3%
John Kennedy
John Kennedy
$1.8K Vol.
92% ▲4.6%
Chuck Schumer
Chuck Schumer
$551.028688 Vol.
38% ▼1%
Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
$2.6K Vol.
8.4% ▲2.1%
Elizabeth Warren
Elizabeth Warren
$30.3K Vol.
4.1% ▼4.9%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 31, 2026, 3:28 AM Asia/Dhaka
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