Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

00 DAYS
00 HRS
00 MINS
00 SECS
$13,708,569 VOL. | Dec 31, 2026
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31
December 31
$998.7K Vol.
85.6% ▲1.5%
Hide resolved
March 31
March 31
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
June 30
June 30
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
January 31
January 31
$293.6K Vol. · Ended
No
March 31
March 31
$0 Vol. · Ended
No
June 30
June 30
$0 Vol. · Ended
No

Rules

If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 10:01 PM Asia/Dhaka
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