Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
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DAYS
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HRS
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MINS
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SECS
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31
$149.3K Vol.
13%
March 31
$2.5M Vol.
1.6%
December 31, 2025
$2.8M Vol. · Ended
No
January 31
$8.4M Vol. · Ended
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Created At: Jan 20, 2026, 10:01 PM Asia/Dhaka
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