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US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee fir...
28%
chance
$19.615724 Vol.
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
64%
chance
$38.2K Vol.
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military stri...
59%
chance
$9.2K Vol.
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 31 14%
March 31 4.4%
$59.5K Vol.
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by...?
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by...?
March 31 47%
January 31 22%
$12K Vol.
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
19%
chance
$145.9K Vol.
Iran Strike on Israel by...?
Iran Strike on Israel by...?
February 28 36%
January 15 0.2%
January 31 16%
$433K Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
12%
chance
$283.6K Vol.
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January...
0.5%
chance
$2.8M Vol.
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?
March 31 60%
June 30 60%
$18.7K Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
January 31 23%
34%
$10.8M Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
54%
chance
$250.9K Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
42%
chance
$1.3M Vol.
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?
March 31, 2026 51%
June 30, 2026 61%
June 30, 2026 61%
March 31, 2026 52%
$4.4M Vol.

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