Geopolitics Events - Polyrion

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Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

34%

January 31 23%

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January...

0.5%

chance

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

February 28 35%

January 15 0.2%

January 31 17%

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

12%

chance

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

43%

chance

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

June 30, 2026 61%

March 31, 2026 50%

June 30, 2026 61%

March 31, 2026 52%

Iran strike on US military by January 31?

20%

chance

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

54%

chance

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 31 13%

March 31 4.4%

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

64%

chance

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military stri...

59%

chance

U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by...?

March 31 61%

June 30 57%