Politics & Elections - Polyrion

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Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

50%

chance

Israel strike on Yemen by...?

June 30 85%

March 31 63%

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by...?

99.9%

chance

Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition

0.1%

chance

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

99.9%

chance

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

99.9%

chance

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Syria 9%

Malaysia 10%

Indonesia 14.6%

Qatar 12.4%

Kuwait 34%

Bangladesh 25%

Tunisia 19%

Venezuela 10%

Iraq 14%

Lebanon 8.9%

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel afte...

Avigdor Lieb... 1%

Yoaz Hendel 0.2%

Moshe Feigli... 0.7%

Gideon Sa’ar 0.3%

Yair Golan 0.6%

Gadi Eizenko... 5.1%

Naftali Benn... 29%

Yariv Levin 0.5%

Itamar Ben G... 0.3%

Yossi Cohen 1.4%

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Leb...

83%

chance

How many different countries will Israel strike in...

10 0.8%

15+ 0.3%

11 0.6%

7 4.2%

3 23%

14 0.4%

6 10.3%

2 2.6%

13 0.2%

9 1.2%

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

June 30, 202... 10%

December 31,... 22%

Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?

99.9%

chance

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