Politics & Elections - Polyrion

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Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

64%

chance

Houthi strike on Israel by January 31?

16%

chance

Hezbollah strike on Israel by January 31?

13%

chance

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

February 28 38%

January 15 0.2%

January 31 17%

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

12%

chance

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Leb...

58.5%

chance

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January...

0.5%

chance

Israel strike on Yemen by...?

June 30 69%

March 31 43%

Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?

3.3%

chance

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by...?

March 31 61%

January 31 26%

How many different countries will Israel strike in...

3 13%

≤1 60%

2 31%

≥4 3%

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

January 18 41%

January 19 35%

January 20 47%

January 21 48%

January 22 47%

January 23 47%

January 24 47%

January 17 36%

January 16 42%

January 14 0.3%

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

January 24 58%

January 20 59%

January 23 57%

January 21 62%

January 16 17%

January 17 47%

January 18 42%

January 14 0.2%

January 22 64%

January 19 59%

Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition

29%

chance

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

January 31 22%

34%

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

55%

chance

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

42%

chance

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Iraq 18%

Malaysia 14%

Indonesia 8.9%

Qatar 16%

Kuwait 8%

Bangladesh 44%

Venezuela 27%

Syria 19%

North Korea 3.7%

Lebanon 9.9%

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel afte...

Yoaz Hendel 0.4%

Ayelet Shaked 0.4%

Benjamin Netanyahu 55%

Moshe Feiglin 0.6%

Gideon Sa’ar 0.7%

Yair Golan 0.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 1.9%

Gadi Eizenkot 1.6%

Naftali Bennett 36%

Yariv Levin 0.7%

Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?

March 31 42%

39%

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